Afl round 4 betting tips
Port Adelaide continues to fly with its form and a big win over a disappointing West Coast who are not far from being season over. A return to Perth cannot come quick enough for the Eagles. Adelaide Crows will crow about a return to competitiveness with its loss to Brisbane.
However 33 scoring shots for Brisbane to 11 for the Crows is the real story. Adelaide sit bottom with its cross town rival Port Adelaide sits top. Adelaide plays Fremantle this week for the bottom of table battle. St Kilda had a big win over Richmond and the Saints look much improved just as the Tigers look in awful trouble. A Richmond bounce can be expected but if they want to challenge they will need this bounce asap. St Kilda would appear finals bound on current form.
Western Bulldogs look to have corrected the slump and came away with a second strong win in a row. Geelong had a close but deserved win over Melbourne as did Hawthorn in a narrow win over North. Carlton, along with Gold Coast, is a big bounce side and beat a disappointing Essendon. Richmond will now stay in Melbourne and play Melbourne instead of travelling to the Gold Coast. Bontempelli had looked a bit at sea as skipper but in one moment that all changed.
His running back with the flight mark versus Heeney will be a turning point in his leadership. The Swans were tracking well in the 2 games back but were not strong enough In the contest and were found lacking in the stuff the Swans need to win. Giants over Magpies They have very quickly built a strong rivalry the Giants and Collingwood yet another game within a kick.
Last years Prelim finalists battled it out and Toby Greene the barometer of the Giants was simply the difference. His inclusion seemed to flick the switch of his teammates and they were back to their blue collar tough best. Port top of table It was the test we were waiting to see where Port were at and it seems they came through with flying colours. These two sides playing out a thrilling draw last season, but Adelaide have won the four previous games played between the two sides.
The Crows have won ten of their past 14 games as home favourites and most impressive is the fact that they have covered the line in each of these victories. Collingwood were able to record their first win of the season when they beat Carlton last season, but they obviously face a much tougher challenge against Adelaide.
The Magpies have won only two of their past six games as away underdogs, but they are against the line in this situation. This is a game that Adelaide should win comfortably, but the line of Some poor kicking cost the Giants victory against the Sydney Swans last weekend and that is an area this side will need to improve if they are going to be genuine premiership contenders this season.
The Giants have won their past three games against Fremantle and they are as home favourites, but they have covered the line in only four of their past 11 games in this scenario. Fremantle have made a very promising start to the AFL season and they head into this clash on the back of two solid wins over Essendon and the Gold Coast Suns. The Dockers have won only three of their past ten games as away underdogs, but they are against the line in this situation.
Fremantle are the sort of side that can frustrate this Giants outfit and the Dockers are a great bet to cover the line with a healthy start. The Tigers have won the past 11 games played between these two sides and they head into this game on the back of a professional victory over Hawthorn.
Richmond have now won nine of their past ten games as home favourites and they are against the line in this scenario. Brisbane are still chasing their first win of the season, but they are a better side than their current record suggests and they have given St Kilda, Melbourne and Port Adelaide a genuine scare in all three of their games so far this season.
The Lions have won only one of their past 11 games as away underdogs, but they are an excellent against the line in this scenario. The betting play that stands out in this clash is the Under in Total Points betting. Backing the Under in Richmond games at the MCG over the past 12 months has been a highly profitable betting play, while the Lions have struggled to score points in their recent games against the Tigers.
Back Under Sydney returned to winning form with a professional win over the GWS Giants and they have made a much better start to the season than they did 12 months ago. The Swans have won six of their past nine as away favourites and they have been able to cover the line in each of these wins. The Western Bulldogs bounced back from their dismal start to the season with a confidence-building win over Essendon and they played some excellent football in the process.
They have won two of their past three games as home underdogs and they have won four of the past five games played between the two sides. There is a genuine question mark over the ability of the Bulldogs to string together two positive performances — they are on the back of a win over the past two months — and Sydney should be able to make it two wins on the trot.
The Kangaroos have an excellent record in the Apple Isle and they have won 11 of their 15 games at Blundstone Arena, while they have covered the line in each of these victories. With a record like that, it is no real surprise that North Melbourne will start this game as favourites, but this is not a position in which they have thrived in recent seasons.
The Navy Blues have won only two of their past ten games as away underdogs, but they are against the line in this scenario. This should be a tight affair and I am keen to back Carlton to cover the line with the insurance of a West Coast stamped themselves as a genuine contender with a tough win over Geelong last Sunday and their record against the Suns is outstanding.
The Eagles have won six of their past nine games as home favourites and they are against the line in their four previous meetings against the Suns in Perth. Gold Coast suffered their first loss of the Stuart Dew era when they went down to Fremantle last weekend and they have spent the entire week in Perth ahead of this clash.
The Suns have won only one of their past nine games as away underdogs and they are against the line in this scenario. Gold Coast have done plenty of travel so far this season and they played like a tired outfit against Fremantle last weekend.
This is the type of game in which the Eagles generally thrive and they should be able to record a very comfortable win. Port Adelaide are the only unbeaten side left in the competition after they survived a scare against the Brisbane Lions last weekend and they will start this clash as favourites. The Power have won three of their past five games as away favourites and they have covered the line in each of these wins.
Essendon started their season with an impressive win over Adelaide, but they head into this clash on the back of two poor performances against both Fremantle and the Western Bulldogs. The Bombers have won four of their past six games as home underdogs and this has generally been their pattern — they save their best form for the top teams in the competition and save their stinkers for sides outside the top eight.
Essendon beat Port Adelaide by 70 points the last time that these two teams did battle and they are good value to record an upset win. Melbourne made it two wins on the trot with a comfortable victory over North Melbourne — their first in the past 17 matches between the two sides — and they will go into this clash as favourites.
Hawthorn may have suffered their first loss of the seasons at the hands of Richmond last weekend, but they were not disgraced and this has been a very promising start to the season for this side. The Hawks have won 14 of the past 15 games played between these two sides and their record as underdogs is strong — they have won seven of their past 14 games in this scenario for a big profit and they are against the line in this scenario. This is a big task for Melbourne and I am yet to be convinced that they are up for the challenge.
Geelong came-up just short against both Hawthorn and the West Coast Eagles over the past fortnight, but they will still go into this clash with St Kilda as clear favourites. The Cats have won only three of their past six games as home favourites for a clear loss and they are a woeful against the line in this scenario, while they will go into this clash without Gary Ablett and a host of other injury issues.
The Saints have won only two of their past eight games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is not much better. These are two teams that are both tough to trust from a betting perspective and this is a clash that I am happy to stay out of.
No Bet We are less than a month into the AFL season, but it has been a truly fascinating start to a massive year of footy. Very few experts would have predicted that both Sydney and Hawthorn would be winless after three rounds, while the fact that Richmond are currently sitting in second position is just as big a shock. Will the upsets continue this weekend? Below you can find our complete AFL Round 4 tips and we are confident that we have found a number of winning plays.
West Coast suffered their first defeat of the season at the hands of Richmond last weekend, but they will still go into this clash at Domain Stadium as clear favourites. The Eagles continue to be extremely tough to beat in front of their home fans at Domain Stadium and they have won nine of their past 11 games as home favourites, while they are against the line in this scenario. It is fair to say that Sydney were a touch unlucky against Collingwood last weekend, but their inability to come away with the four points is a big concern for a side that was expected to be in the Premiership mix once again.
Sydney have won three of their past four games as away underdogs for a clear profit and it is impossible to get a side with this much talent as long as their current price. The Swans are a club with plenty of ticker and it really would not surprise if they silenced their critics with a big win this Thursday night. The Western Bulldogs suffered a shock defeat at the hands of Fremantle last weekend, but they will still go into this clash with North Melbourne as clear favourites.
While there is no doubt that the Bulldogs are suffering from a minor premiership hangover, they really should prove too strong for North Melbourne. They have won 12 of their past 15 games as favourites, but they are only when giving away a start against the line. North Melbourne have not been disgraced in all three of their defeats so far this season, but their inability to close out games has been a big issue.
The Kangaroos have lost their past 11 games as underdogs and they are a very poor against the line in this scenario. The market looks to have got this game just about right, but the Under in the Total Points betting market really does stand out. The Under has saluted in 54 percent of the past games played at Etihad Stadium and 19 of the past 29 games played by the Western Bulldogs at the venue. Melbourne would be happy to have a record at this stage of the season and they really have improved their record as favourites over the past 12 months — they have now won five of their past six games as home favourites for a clear profit.
They ended a lenghty losing streak against Fremantle last weekend and they will go into this clash with plenty of confidence Fremantle snapped their losing streak with an upset win over the Western Bulldogs and it will be interesting to see whether they can back-up that performance. The Dockers have lost their past nine games as away underdogs and they are just against the line in this scenario.
Winning back-to-back games has been a big issue for Fremantle and I expect Melbourne to return to winning form this weekend. The Giants ended up recording a comfortable victory over North Melbourne last weekend and they have found their rhythm following their opening round loss at the hands of Adelaide.
Manuka Oval has turned into a happy hunting ground for the Giants and they are both in head-to-head betting and against the line at the venue. Port Adelaide had their winning run ended by local rivals Adelaide last weekend, but there is no doubt that they have improved in They still face a tough task against the Giants, but their record as away underdogs does inspire some confidence — they have won three of their past five games in this scenario.
This is another game that the market looks to have got just about right and the value is in the Total Points betting market. The Under has saluted in 18 of the past 30 games played at Manuka Oval and nine of the past 15 games played by the Giants at the venue, so it would surprise if these teams combined for more than Gold Coast were nothing short of outstanding against Hawthorn last weekend and they will go into this clash as narrow favourites.
Winning away from home has proven to be a massive issue for the Gold Coast and they have not done it in 12 months — losing two games as away favourites in that period. Carlton scored their first win of the season with a very scrappy victory over Essendon and they scored less than 90 points for the third time this season. The Blues have proven tough to beat at home over the past 12 months and they have won four of their past ten games as home underdogs for a big profit. Carlton were able to string together wins last season and they are on the back of a win, while the Gold Coast are over the same period.
The Suns are a team I am always happy to take on as favourites and Carlton do represent a touch of value at their current price. Adelaide produced another high-quality performance to account for Port Adelaide and they are unbeaten despite having one of the toughest starts to the season. The Crows have won seven of their past nine games as home favourites and they are a profit against the line when giving away a start.
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Afl round 4 betting tips ambi red 234 betting
Afl round 4 tipsREGISTRATION BETWAY
I would back Geelong in the head-to-head at 1. Collingwood vs. West Coast Collingwood have won 10 of their last 13 at home against West Coast and the injury-hit visitors have lost seven consecutive games spanning this season and the last.
I would back Collingwood in the head-to-head at 1. Gold Coast vs. Carlton Carlton have made a start to the season and they have won 4 of their last 5 trips to the Gold Coast when installed as the favourite. Gold Coast have lost four consecutive home games spanning this season and the last and over the last 12 months they have gone as the home underdog. I would back Carlton in the head-to-head at 1.
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