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The numbers are just outstanding. We also know Cole is pitching well too. He has a 3. Pirates He has a 4. On the other hand, the Cubs will have Caleb Kilian on the mound. Kilian has only pitched nine innings so far this season and has ERA of 8. We feel Brubaker, although winless, is far more reliable than Kilian. Both teams are just in their last 10 games. The Warriors won in six games and were dominant over the last three games, winning each by 10 or more.
Golden State did it last night as a four-point underdog as well. Basketball is over now, but we still have Game 2 of the Stanley Cup finals tomorrow night and we have a full weekend of very interesting U.
Open golf to watch and bet. You can see my six-man DFS lineup here. Baseball will remain the mainstay, however. We have 16 games today with the Nationals and Phillies playing a day-night doubleheader. Golden State won and covered in each of the last three games of the series. Home teams were just on the day. Best Bets recap It was a mixed bag for me yesterday as we went in our baseball plays but dropped our first quarter bet on the Celtics at Boston jumped out to a lead, and I felt pretty good.
But it all went downhill from there as the Warriors outscored the Celtics the rest of the quarter. As far as baseball goes, we total whiffed on the Blue Jays-Orioles game. We had the Jay While totally missing on that game, we totally nailed the mismatch that was the Phillies-Nationals. The Phillies jumped out to lead in the third inning on their way to a victory.
We also had the Rangers We were on the money with Martin Perez pitching great for the Rangers but missed on the Tigers pitching holding down the Texas offense. Fortunately, the Rangers got three runs in the top of the ninth to pull out the win and the cover. The Giants are eight games over. Rodon has a record with a 3.
Rodon will be facing Zach Thompson of the Pirates, who has a record and a 4. I am taking the Giants and laying the 1. Padres San Diego is overall, on the road, in its last 10 games and vs. The Rockies are just on the season and in their last Gore is with a 2. Also, San Diego is against lefthanders.
The Avalanche won as favorites and are now to win the series. Game 2 will be Saturday night in Denver. The Celtics, who need to win to send the series back to San Francisco for Game 7, are four-point favorites tonight. In addition to the basketball game, we have nine baseball games on a light Thursday schedule. Overs went and road teams went In the Stanley Cup playoffs, we already noted the Avs victory.
Home teams went in the conference final round. Best Bets recap Ugh. It was not a good day at all as we lost both of our bets. The Yankees, though, jumped out to a lead and held on for a victory. We thought about taking the Under or first five Under as Nestor Cortez was on the mound for the Yanks. In our other play, we had Toronto The Blue Jays jumped a lead and we felt like we were in good shape.
The Orioles, though, rallied to tie the game before the Jays won it in the bottom of the 10th. We look to get back on the winning track today. The Celtics need to win to keep the series alive and we expect them to come out with great energy and motivation. The home team has won the first quarter in each of the five games so far and we expect that to continue tonight. The Blue Jays, however, send out their ace today in Kevin Gausman.
Gausman is this season with a 2. He has struck out 77 and walked just 10 in 70 innings of work. Tyler Wells will get the ball for the Orioles. Wells has a record with a 3. Phillies Nationals — The Phillies have won 10 of their last 12 games while the Nats just got swept by the Braves. In addition to two teams heading in opposite directions, we feel we have a distinct pitching mismatch as well.
Zack Wheeler will get the start for the Phillies and he brings a record with a 2. Wheeler as a WHIP of 1. He has 55 strikeouts and 25 walks in 66 innings. Also, the Phillies are overall but against lefthanders. Rangers Tigers — Once again, we have what looks like a pretty distinct pitching mismatch.
Perez has been very good this season with a record, a 2. He has 60 strikeouts and 18 walks in Brieske has a record, a 4. He has 31 strikeouts and 15 walks Colorado is a favorite tonight and a favorite to win the series. After sweeping Edmonton, Colorado has been off for nine days.
The Avalanche will, obviously, be well rested, but will they be rusty as well. Home teams went We had both winners on the We look forward to keeping that winning going today. Orioles — Baltimore eked out a victory over Toronto last night after getting pounded Monday night. The difference is that his last two starts have been abysmal.
He gave up 10 hits and seven runs in 4. For this reason, we like the pitching matchup and we know the Jays are the better team. Yankees — The Yankees are the best team in baseball with an incredible record so far. McClanahan is with a 1. Cortez has a record with a 1. However, the lone blemish came in his last start when he gave up seven hits and four runs in 4. The Warriors covered as a four-point favorite. I passed on the game and am kicking myself for not taking the Warriors -2 in the first quarter.
So, even though we had a profitable night with our baseball wins, I still feel a bit unfulfilled. Boston had been after a loss in the playoffs. In MLB action, favorites went yesterday and have won Overs went and home teams split Game 1 of the Stanley Cup finals will be tomorrow night in Denver. The lone loss on the evening came as the Astros gave up three runs in the bottom of the eighth to lose to the Rangers. Red Sox In addition to the pitching mismatch, we get a hot team in Boston in its last 10 vs.
Pivetta is with a 3. He got banged around by the Angels in his last time out but before that had given up just one run in his previous 13 innings. Koenig has only pitched four innings so far this season and gave up four runs to Atlanta in that outing. Logan Webb will be on the mound for San Francisco, and he has a record with a 3. His xERA is 3. The Giants are against left-handers and the Royals will send Kris Bubic to the mound.
Bubic is with a 9. He has a WHIP of 2. Throw in the facts that the Giants are in their last 10 and the Royals are and I feel this has the makings of big San Francisco win. We are also set for the Stanley Cup finals as Tampa Bay dispatched of the Rangers in six games and are now poised to face the Avalanche in search of their third straight Cup.
The Rangers had won the first two games, but Tampa Bay came back to win four straight and now have a chance to defend their Cup title. Game one is Wednesday night in Denver and Colorado is a favorite. We had the Brewers The Brewers were upset by the Nats, the Twins stayed hot and beat the Rays and, while Luis Castillo pitched really well for the Reds, they were shutout by St. The bets and the money are coming in on the Warriors.
Usually, that favors the home team, but we think the Celtics will ready tonight after the way the second half played out Friday night. Orioles — Alek Manoah is on the mound for the Blue Jays tonight and we think this sets up for a giant pitching mismatch. Manoah is with a 1.
Meanwhile, the Orioles will start Kyle Bradish, who has a 6. Hearn is on the season with a 5. Control has been an issue as he has walked 25 in 50 innings. The Astros counter with right-hander Cristian Javier, who has a 3. He has a good strikeout to walk ratio of Javier was roughed up by Seattle In his last outing and was pushed back in the rotation. But he has given up two runs or fewer in 9 of his 11 starts and with the extra rest, we are looking for a strong performance.
Padres at Cubs — This is another game where we feel there are clear advantages with the better overall team, the better pitcher and a favorable matchup vs. San Diego is overall, has won seven of its last 10 game and has a record against left-handers. The Cubs, on the other hand, are , have lost seven of their last 10 and are starting left-hander Justin Steele, who as a record of with a 4.
The Padres start Yu Darvish, who has a record with a 3. Those are our best bets of the day. Good luck with yours! The win gives the Lightning a series lead and moved them within one win of facing the Avalanche for the Stanley Cup.
On the diamond, Favorites went , Overs went and home teams went yesterday. The Celtics, after opening as 3. Golden State just has not been very good on the road ATS this season, going just during the season and in the playoffs. Favorites, meanwhile, are ATS during the playoffs. I looked for a low-scoring affair between two really good pitchers. Instead, we got a run slugfest. Thankfully, the Braves defeated the Pirates so we were able to salvage our RL bet with that win.
Washington is just against lefties this season and Ashby is a strong positive regression candidate. His record is just and his ERA is only 3. Even better is his xERA of 2. Fedde is with an ERA of 4. They have Drew Rasmussen on the mound, and he has a record with a 3.
In addition, the Rays are against lefthanders this season and the Twins will be pitching lefty Devin Smeltzer. Now, Smeltzer is with a 1. However, he is, without a doubt, a negative regression candidate with an xERA of 3. Remember, if there is a big difference between ERA and xFIP, regression either positive or negative is probably coming. Luis Castillo is going for the Reds, and he has a record with a 3.
The Cardinals will have Andre Pallante on the mound. He has only a 1. The numbers point to negative regression. Also, since that horrible start, Cincinnati has been a. We think this matchup leads to a good price for the first five innings.
Thursday, June 9 Update and Best Bets If you wanted a full day of sports watching yesterday, it was certainly available. There were a couple of afternoon baseball games, full slate at night and then Game 3 of the NBA Finals later in the evening. Boston covered as a 3. Favorites went in MLB action with Unders going Favorites have won Although there was no hockey yesterday, I do want to note that the Rangers host the Lightning tonight in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference final.
Despite being on the road and the fact they lost the first two games of the series in Madison Square Garden Tampa Bay is a favorite. Favorites are during this round of the playoffs and overall in the playoffs. In the NBA, we took Boston We felt strongly that the Celtics would come out highly motivated in their first home game of the Finals. We also split our two baseball bets, winning by taking underdog Arizona over Cincinnati and losing by taking the Giants on the RL.
Meanwhile, the Giants beat the Rockies in 10 innings but did not cover the 1. Anderson has been sensational this season as he comes in with a record and a 2. Cease has been quite good, himself, with a record and a 3. The total on this game is 8. For comparison sakes, six of the other 10 games have totals that are lower. Also, it may be worth looking at the first five Under of 4.
Pirates — The Braves have won seven straight games and have a decided pitching advantage tonight with Max Fried going against J. Fried has a record with a 2. Similarly to the Braves-Pirates game, we feel the Giants are the better team with the better pitcher and the Rockies are not a good road team Logan Webb goes for San Francisco and he has a record with a 3.
It will Austin Gomber for the Rockies and he has a record with a 6. Good luck with all of your own bets today! Recap of yesterday The Tampa Bay Lightning, as favorite, evened their series with the Rangers with a victory. Home teams have won all four games of the series so far.
They go back to Madison Square Garden for game 5 tomorrow night. It was a good night for the favorites in Major League Baseball with 11 wins against only five losses. We figured Kyle Wright would pitch well for the Braves, which he did, giving up just two runs in eight innings. But Cole Irvin and the bullpen held Atlanta down as well. The Astros, however, did come through with a victory over the Mariners.
We had Houston on the RL as well and were at least able to salvage a split. We will continue to try to give bets with decent prices so we can make some money. Warriors — Even in game two when the Warriors won handily, the Celtics led most of the first quarter.
We expect an emotionally charged Boston fan base and team tonight. That, generally, means coming out of the gate with a lot of energy. Kelly has a 3. Minor has thrown one four-inning outing so far this season after returning from a shoulder injury. He gave up three home runs and five runs altogether in his first outing. We feel he will improve but can he improve enough to stop the D-Backs today? In addition, the Reds are going for the sweep in this series.
Rockies — The Giants are heavily favored tonight against the Rockies and we feel they should be. Wood enters the game with a 4. Senzatela, meanwhile, has not been so good. He has an ERA of 5. He is striking out only about three batters every nine innings. The Rockies, also, are a terrible road team that actually won last night. We feel regression coming everywhere. Good luck with your bets today!
Tuesday, June 7 Update and Best Bets It was a light baseball day yesterday, but we are back to a full schedule today. We also have a Stanley Cup Eastern Conference final game three to look at. We only made one bet yesterday and lost it as Mariners upset the Astros. That brings our record to since our launch, which still is profitable. Favorites went on a light MLB schedule. As we noted earlier, that brings our overall record to since we launched. Irvin comes in with a nifty ERA of just 2. However, his xERA is a hefty 5.
Not only that, but the Braves will have Kyle Wright on the mound and all Wright has done is post a record with a 2. Yes, his xERA is 3. As we noted, we look for pitching mismatches and we have one here as Verlander faces Chris Flexen for Seattle.
Flexen enters this game with an ERA of 4. The Astros are in their last 10 games, in their last 20 and over their last They are overall and at home, having played just 20 home games so far. Meanwhile, Verlander has a record with a 2.
The good thing about the weekend is that we went with our picks to bring our record to since launching over two weeks ago. Weekend recap Golden State, buoyed by a huge third quarter, beat Boston to easily cover as a 4. The win evened the series as the two teams head east for games three and four. In the NHL, Colorado beat Edmonton Saturday night to take a commanding lead in the Western Conference finals while Tampa Bay avoided the same fate as the Oilers by rallying past the Rangers Sunday to pull within in that series.
Favorites and underdogs went Sunday in the major league baseball action. Overs went and road teams went a dominating Favorites still are winning Our Best Bets recap As we noted earlier, we went over the weekend helped by a perfect in Friday night baseball games. We had the Rays We also had the Giants ML over the Marlins. San Francisco jumped to a lead and never looked back on its way to a demolition of Miami.
Finally on Friday, we had the Yankees This game was never in doubt as New York romped to a win. We had the Warriors Golden State led after the first quarter so it did not cover. The Warriors completely dominated the second half in their must-win situation. Still, a weekend is a profitable one. Based on the teams involved, we feel we have one in this Houston-Seattle game. Seattle sends out lefty Robbie Ray, who really has not had a bad year.
However, the Astros are against left-handers this season. Also, Houston counters with Cristian Javier, who has been very strong so far this season with a 2. He has also struck 52 batters in 41 innings vs. Ray has a record with a 4. Ray has also been a little stronger at home than the road. Also, the Astros are as a favorite and the Mariners are as an underdog.
The Celtics were 3. We split our four baseball bets last night to bring our record to in the last two weeks. The favorites still lead in the playoffs ATS. The total went over , although Unders still lead After 14 goals in game 1, the goals stayed under the total of 7. Favorites are during the playoffs while the Overs still lead Favorites went in baseball yesterday and are winning at a Unders went yesterday and have won We won with the Cubs in the first five innings over the Cardinals as we correctly predicted the Cubs would knock around Matthew Liberatore.
Chicago led after five. We had the over 9. Washington has only scored one run in the last 28 innings. We also missed on the Yankees New York did beat the Angels , but only went 1-for with runners in scoring position. We just had a bad result. Along with the Cubs, we also won with the Marlins in the first five innings against the Giants.
Alcantara pitched seven shutout innings and Miami scratched across a run in the second on their way to a lead after five and a victory. McClanahan has been terrific this year averaging over 12 strikeouts and less than two walks per nine innings. He has an ERA of 2. Velasquez has had a rough few years, and this year is no different. He was demoted to the bullpen and will be making his first start since that demotion. He has a 5. Cobb has an ERA of 5. Hernandez, meanwhile, has a similar ERA of 5.
Cole has been steady all season with a 3. He also pitched very well in his last time out, giving up just one run in six innings against the Rays. Rodriguez, on the other hand, has an ERA over 6 and has walked five guys in just 11 innings of work. Colorado — The Avs won the first two games in Denver and now travel to Edmonton for game 3. The Oilers absolutely need to win this game to stay in the series. You can expect a huge first-period push Edmonton.
Sunday, June 5 Warriors first quarter Down , Golden State cannot afford to lose this game. We expect the Warriors to come out motivated and dominate the first quarter. Take Golden State In addition, the Pirates have beaten the Dodgers five of six times this season. The good news is that there are plenty more baseball games today as well as the first game of the NBA Finals. Unders went and home teams went Best Bets recap Well, we already mentioned the Dodgers debacle with the Pirates.
The good news is that we did pick up a win with the Braves ML win over the Diamondbacks. We also had the Yankees RL over the Angels, but that game was rained out. The record brings our record to since the site was launched. Taillon is with an ERA of 2. As we noted yesterday, New York is against left-handers. Nationals at Reds Over 9. Those are just the start of his bad numbers. Meanwhile, the Reds will trot out Graham Ashcraft, who has had two quality starts and sports a 1.
We feel like this a spot where a lot of runs will be scored. Take the Over full game total of 9. Marlins First Five innings ML vs. Giants — Miami, mercifully, leaves Colorado after giving up 21 runs in its three games there. Today: With 10 games on Tuesday, you'd think I'd have a lot of action, but I don't. In fact, I only have one small wager to start the day.
There might be reason to get down on another game later, though, so follow me on Twitter to get notified of any updates. All recommended bets will be accompanied by recommended stake size. No team has given up more shots on a per minute basis so far this season, and only five teams have given up more goals. The Coyotes could be looking past this game with their home opener coming up later this week. The home team is far from a lock, though.
Columbus is playing their third game in four days, though, and both teams are dealing with injuries to key players. My model estimates that the Blue Jackets should be priced around I'm still not betting on this game, but that is an important piece of information that bettors should be aware of.
Danill Tarasov is expected to start in goal. Scott Wedgewood was in goal, though, which means Jake Oettinger will be the starting goaltender on Tuesday. Detroit and Friday at Columbus. Boston currently ranks second in expected goals, according to Evolving Hockey, and they grade out as a stronger team all around.
My model estimates the Bruins should be priced around , and that means I can justify making a small wager on them to win the game. Bet: Boston Bruins Stake: 0. Linus Ullmark is expected to start in goal for the Bruins. Minnesota ranks 29th in expected goals and 30th in goals for and against.
They will likely improve, given how much talent they have, but their goaltending is atrocious and I have no interest in laying a big price with this team right now. Vitek Vanecek played the third period after MacKenzie Blackwood was chased from the game after allowing the first five goals, and he will almost certainly start Tuesday's game in Detroit. The Red Wings will be icing a less than optimal roster due to injuries to some of their top players, Tyler Bertuzzi and Jakub Vrana, and it's unclear who they will start in goal.
Either way, I'm not interested in messing with either of these teams today. My model estimates that Detroit will win the game approximately 53 percent of the time if Ville Husso starts in goal.
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You always need to keep collecting data and learning so that your future plays have a better chance of winning. White Sox Skubal will face Chicago righty Lucas Giolito, who gave up just one run on three hits in six innings in his last time out. Diamondbacks The Rockies edged the D-backs yesterday and used four relief pitchers in the process. Gallen is with a 3. I like Arizona to bounce back and get the win on the RL.
Philadelphia Union vs. United, on the other hand, are in 13th place out of 14 in the East. Philadelphia is coming off two road games where they fell to Chicago and had a scoreless draw in Columbus. All the teams are somewhere right around the half-way point in their seasons and we should have more than a decent enough sample size to make solid projections.
However, we are also into a time where off days are limited, and every team seems to be running into doubleheaders. That, along with injuries, means numerous minor leaguers coming up to pitch, which makes it more difficult to handicap. There will be ups and downs through every baseball betting season and this year is no different. We won one of three plays yesterday as the Yankees destroyed the Pirates to easily cover the RL for our win.
Orioles first five RL Angels — It will Jordan Lyles vs. The Orioles are quietly becoming a formidable team. He also pitched 6. Silseth, on the other hand, is with a 5. Braves Cardinals — Atlanta has won the first three games of this series and go for the sweep tonight with Spencer Strider on the mound. Strider has a record with a 2. He has been dominant in his last two times out, giving up just one run over 12 innings of work.
In addition, the Braves are on a roll, winning seven of their last 10 and 23 of their last The Cardinals, on the other hand have lost six of their last seven and trying to stop the bleeding. Lefty Matthew Liberatore will be on the mound for St. Also, the Braves are against lefthanders this season. Cease is with a 2.
He has struck out batters in 86 innings of work. The Tigers will counter with Beau Brieske, who is with a 4. Chicago had a crazy come-from-behind win over Minnesota yesterday. Expect that momentum to continue today. Rockies vs. Diamondbacks over 9. Both pitchers have been terrible, and Keuchel is on his second team of the year. Gomber is with an ERA of 6. Dodgers Cubs — Again, we are focusing on the pitchers in this one.
Tony Gonsolin, for the Dodgers, is with a 1. Gonsolin will be facing Mark Leiter, Jr. Leiter is with a 4. In addition, the Dodgers are at home and against right-handed pitching. Hopefully, we can get back on the winning track. We also had the Blue Jays and Giants — better teams with better pitchers going — and both lost outright. What a disaster? Our lone win was the Dodgers, who beat the Rockies to salvage the day. We do try to pick plus money or near even money lines, so we are still making a little bit of money.
But we do expect to pick up the pace moving forward. There is a big slate of 14 baseball games today with four afternoon games and 10 night ones. Brewers Cubs — Chicago drubbed Milwaukee last night and have won six of its last 10 games. The Brewers, though, have won seven of their last 10 and are with a game lead over the Cubs in the NL Central. Burnes has been stellar this season with a 2. He has a record of and has struck out batters vs. Sampson has good numbers but has only thrown 16 innings so far this season.
We have the better team, the better pitcher, the home team and the team coming off the loss. Yankees In addition, the Luis Severino will be pitching tonight for New York and he brings a record with a 3. Contrast that with Mitch Keller, who will be on the mound for the Pirates. Keller has a record with a 5. So again, we have the better team with the better pitcher coming off a loss.
Astros Royals — The Astros did not lose last night to the Royals like our other choices today. They won and have, in fact, won eight straight games and nine of their last During the eight-game win streak, they are against the RL. Houston has a record while Kansas City is The Astros are clearly the better team and are playing really well right now.
As far as pitching goes, tonight Cristian Javier of the Astros will be facing fellow righty Brad Keller for the Royals. Javier is with a 2. Keller is with a 4. So, we have the Astros as the better team, the hotter team and with the better pitcher. Good luck with your own bets! Hopefully, everyone had a profitable two weeks, and we can now gear up for the baseball dog days where we hope to find value on a daily basis. Our goal is to find plays that are plus money or close to even money each day.
It may not happen every day, but we will do our best to find those games. He has an record, an ERA under 2. In fact, he threw a complete game his last time out. However, he also threw pitches. However, his last time out he threw six innings and gave up just one run to Tampa Bay.
Giants Diamondbacks — Similarly to the previous game, we have the Giants, fighting for playoff positioning, coming off a loss to Arizona yesterday. The D-backs will be sending out lefty Tyler Gilbert, who has an record with a 7. The Giants, by the way, are against lefties this season. In addition, the Giants will start Alex Wood , 5. Also, his advanced analytics show he is due for positive regression.
Clearly, Los Angeles is the better team with a record and a record at home. The Rockies, on the other hand, are on the season and an even worse on the road. Marquez has a record with a 5. His last time out against the Dodgers he gave up five runs in 3. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will send Mitch White to the mound.
White has started six games and has appeared in 11 this season. He has a record, a 3. I look for the Dodgers to dominate tonight and even the season series with a team they are significantly better than. Monday, June 20 Update and Best Bets It was a big weekend of baseball and golf leading into our upcoming vacation week. Matthew Fitzpatrick secured his first major by shooting a 68 and finishing -6 to edge Will Zalatoris and Scottie Scheffler by one stroke. It was great drama on a great old course and brought a respite from the onslaught of LIV Golf talk.
Sunday was an interesting baseball day as well as Underdogs won 11 of 15 games. Lightning That being the case, I feel the Lightning will come out flying in the first period. McClanahan has a record with a 1. He has strikeouts and just 14 walks in The numbers are just outstanding. We also know Cole is pitching well too. He has a 3. Pirates He has a 4.
On the other hand, the Cubs will have Caleb Kilian on the mound. Kilian has only pitched nine innings so far this season and has ERA of 8. We feel Brubaker, although winless, is far more reliable than Kilian. Both teams are just in their last 10 games.
The Warriors won in six games and were dominant over the last three games, winning each by 10 or more. Golden State did it last night as a four-point underdog as well. Basketball is over now, but we still have Game 2 of the Stanley Cup finals tomorrow night and we have a full weekend of very interesting U.
Open golf to watch and bet. You can see my six-man DFS lineup here. Baseball will remain the mainstay, however. We have 16 games today with the Nationals and Phillies playing a day-night doubleheader. Golden State won and covered in each of the last three games of the series. Home teams were just on the day. Best Bets recap It was a mixed bag for me yesterday as we went in our baseball plays but dropped our first quarter bet on the Celtics at Boston jumped out to a lead, and I felt pretty good.
But it all went downhill from there as the Warriors outscored the Celtics the rest of the quarter. As far as baseball goes, we total whiffed on the Blue Jays-Orioles game. We had the Jay While totally missing on that game, we totally nailed the mismatch that was the Phillies-Nationals. The Phillies jumped out to lead in the third inning on their way to a victory. We also had the Rangers We were on the money with Martin Perez pitching great for the Rangers but missed on the Tigers pitching holding down the Texas offense.
Fortunately, the Rangers got three runs in the top of the ninth to pull out the win and the cover. The Giants are eight games over. Rodon has a record with a 3. Rodon will be facing Zach Thompson of the Pirates, who has a record and a 4. I am taking the Giants and laying the 1. Padres San Diego is overall, on the road, in its last 10 games and vs. The Rockies are just on the season and in their last Gore is with a 2. Also, San Diego is against lefthanders. The Avalanche won as favorites and are now to win the series.
Game 2 will be Saturday night in Denver. The Celtics, who need to win to send the series back to San Francisco for Game 7, are four-point favorites tonight. In addition to the basketball game, we have nine baseball games on a light Thursday schedule. Overs went and road teams went In the Stanley Cup playoffs, we already noted the Avs victory. Home teams went in the conference final round.
Best Bets recap Ugh. It was not a good day at all as we lost both of our bets. The Yankees, though, jumped out to a lead and held on for a victory. We thought about taking the Under or first five Under as Nestor Cortez was on the mound for the Yanks. In our other play, we had Toronto The Blue Jays jumped a lead and we felt like we were in good shape.
The Orioles, though, rallied to tie the game before the Jays won it in the bottom of the 10th. We look to get back on the winning track today. The Celtics need to win to keep the series alive and we expect them to come out with great energy and motivation.
The home team has won the first quarter in each of the five games so far and we expect that to continue tonight. The Blue Jays, however, send out their ace today in Kevin Gausman. Gausman is this season with a 2. He has struck out 77 and walked just 10 in 70 innings of work. Tyler Wells will get the ball for the Orioles. Wells has a record with a 3. Phillies Nationals — The Phillies have won 10 of their last 12 games while the Nats just got swept by the Braves.
In addition to two teams heading in opposite directions, we feel we have a distinct pitching mismatch as well. Zack Wheeler will get the start for the Phillies and he brings a record with a 2. Wheeler as a WHIP of 1. He has 55 strikeouts and 25 walks in 66 innings. Also, the Phillies are overall but against lefthanders.
Rangers Tigers — Once again, we have what looks like a pretty distinct pitching mismatch. Perez has been very good this season with a record, a 2. He has 60 strikeouts and 18 walks in Brieske has a record, a 4. He has 31 strikeouts and 15 walks Colorado is a favorite tonight and a favorite to win the series. After sweeping Edmonton, Colorado has been off for nine days. The Avalanche will, obviously, be well rested, but will they be rusty as well. Home teams went We had both winners on the We look forward to keeping that winning going today.
Orioles — Baltimore eked out a victory over Toronto last night after getting pounded Monday night. The difference is that his last two starts have been abysmal. He gave up 10 hits and seven runs in 4. For this reason, we like the pitching matchup and we know the Jays are the better team. Yankees — The Yankees are the best team in baseball with an incredible record so far.
McClanahan is with a 1. Cortez has a record with a 1. However, the lone blemish came in his last start when he gave up seven hits and four runs in 4. The Warriors covered as a four-point favorite. I passed on the game and am kicking myself for not taking the Warriors -2 in the first quarter. So, even though we had a profitable night with our baseball wins, I still feel a bit unfulfilled. Boston had been after a loss in the playoffs.
In MLB action, favorites went yesterday and have won Overs went and home teams split Game 1 of the Stanley Cup finals will be tomorrow night in Denver. The lone loss on the evening came as the Astros gave up three runs in the bottom of the eighth to lose to the Rangers. Red Sox In addition to the pitching mismatch, we get a hot team in Boston in its last 10 vs. Pivetta is with a 3. He got banged around by the Angels in his last time out but before that had given up just one run in his previous 13 innings.
Koenig has only pitched four innings so far this season and gave up four runs to Atlanta in that outing. Logan Webb will be on the mound for San Francisco, and he has a record with a 3. His xERA is 3. The Giants are against left-handers and the Royals will send Kris Bubic to the mound. Bubic is with a 9. He has a WHIP of 2. Throw in the facts that the Giants are in their last 10 and the Royals are and I feel this has the makings of big San Francisco win.
We are also set for the Stanley Cup finals as Tampa Bay dispatched of the Rangers in six games and are now poised to face the Avalanche in search of their third straight Cup. The Rangers had won the first two games, but Tampa Bay came back to win four straight and now have a chance to defend their Cup title. Game one is Wednesday night in Denver and Colorado is a favorite.
We had the Brewers The Brewers were upset by the Nats, the Twins stayed hot and beat the Rays and, while Luis Castillo pitched really well for the Reds, they were shutout by St. The bets and the money are coming in on the Warriors. Usually, that favors the home team, but we think the Celtics will ready tonight after the way the second half played out Friday night. Orioles — Alek Manoah is on the mound for the Blue Jays tonight and we think this sets up for a giant pitching mismatch.
Manoah is with a 1. Meanwhile, the Orioles will start Kyle Bradish, who has a 6. Hearn is on the season with a 5. Control has been an issue as he has walked 25 in 50 innings. The Astros counter with right-hander Cristian Javier, who has a 3. He has a good strikeout to walk ratio of Javier was roughed up by Seattle In his last outing and was pushed back in the rotation.
But he has given up two runs or fewer in 9 of his 11 starts and with the extra rest, we are looking for a strong performance. Padres at Cubs — This is another game where we feel there are clear advantages with the better overall team, the better pitcher and a favorable matchup vs.
San Diego is overall, has won seven of its last 10 game and has a record against left-handers. The Cubs, on the other hand, are , have lost seven of their last 10 and are starting left-hander Justin Steele, who as a record of with a 4. The Padres start Yu Darvish, who has a record with a 3. Those are our best bets of the day. Good luck with yours! The win gives the Lightning a series lead and moved them within one win of facing the Avalanche for the Stanley Cup.
On the diamond, Favorites went , Overs went and home teams went yesterday. The Celtics, after opening as 3. Golden State just has not been very good on the road ATS this season, going just during the season and in the playoffs. Favorites, meanwhile, are ATS during the playoffs. I looked for a low-scoring affair between two really good pitchers.
Instead, we got a run slugfest. Thankfully, the Braves defeated the Pirates so we were able to salvage our RL bet with that win. Washington is just against lefties this season and Ashby is a strong positive regression candidate. His record is just and his ERA is only 3. Even better is his xERA of 2.
Fedde is with an ERA of 4. They have Drew Rasmussen on the mound, and he has a record with a 3. In addition, the Rays are against lefthanders this season and the Twins will be pitching lefty Devin Smeltzer. Now, Smeltzer is with a 1. However, he is, without a doubt, a negative regression candidate with an xERA of 3.
Remember, if there is a big difference between ERA and xFIP, regression either positive or negative is probably coming. Luis Castillo is going for the Reds, and he has a record with a 3. The Cardinals will have Andre Pallante on the mound. He has only a 1. The numbers point to negative regression. Also, since that horrible start, Cincinnati has been a. We think this matchup leads to a good price for the first five innings. Thursday, June 9 Update and Best Bets If you wanted a full day of sports watching yesterday, it was certainly available.
There were a couple of afternoon baseball games, full slate at night and then Game 3 of the NBA Finals later in the evening. Boston covered as a 3. Favorites went in MLB action with Unders going Favorites have won Although there was no hockey yesterday, I do want to note that the Rangers host the Lightning tonight in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference final.
Despite being on the road and the fact they lost the first two games of the series in Madison Square Garden Tampa Bay is a favorite. Favorites are during this round of the playoffs and overall in the playoffs. In the NBA, we took Boston We felt strongly that the Celtics would come out highly motivated in their first home game of the Finals.
We also split our two baseball bets, winning by taking underdog Arizona over Cincinnati and losing by taking the Giants on the RL. Meanwhile, the Giants beat the Rockies in 10 innings but did not cover the 1. Anderson has been sensational this season as he comes in with a record and a 2.
Cease has been quite good, himself, with a record and a 3. The total on this game is 8. For comparison sakes, six of the other 10 games have totals that are lower. Also, it may be worth looking at the first five Under of 4. Pirates — The Braves have won seven straight games and have a decided pitching advantage tonight with Max Fried going against J. Fried has a record with a 2. Similarly to the Braves-Pirates game, we feel the Giants are the better team with the better pitcher and the Rockies are not a good road team Logan Webb goes for San Francisco and he has a record with a 3.
It will Austin Gomber for the Rockies and he has a record with a 6. Good luck with all of your own bets today! Recap of yesterday The Tampa Bay Lightning, as favorite, evened their series with the Rangers with a victory. Home teams have won all four games of the series so far.
They go back to Madison Square Garden for game 5 tomorrow night. It was a good night for the favorites in Major League Baseball with 11 wins against only five losses. We figured Kyle Wright would pitch well for the Braves, which he did, giving up just two runs in eight innings. But Cole Irvin and the bullpen held Atlanta down as well. The Astros, however, did come through with a victory over the Mariners. We had Houston on the RL as well and were at least able to salvage a split.
We will continue to try to give bets with decent prices so we can make some money. Warriors — Even in game two when the Warriors won handily, the Celtics led most of the first quarter. We expect an emotionally charged Boston fan base and team tonight. That, generally, means coming out of the gate with a lot of energy.
Kelly has a 3. The Red Wings will be icing a less than optimal roster due to injuries to some of their top players, Tyler Bertuzzi and Jakub Vrana, and it's unclear who they will start in goal. Either way, I'm not interested in messing with either of these teams today. My model estimates that Detroit will win the game approximately 53 percent of the time if Ville Husso starts in goal.
Update: Alex Nedeljkovic will start in goal for the Red Wings. Their chances of winning the game aren't as good as they would've been with Husso in goal, but I still don't think there's a any reason to bet on either side here. Note: Devon Toews is listed as day-to-day with an injury and Gabriel Landeskog is out long term. Are they a good bet to do so? Not according to my model.
The Panthers are barely scraping by. Two of the Panthers four wins have come against the New York Islanders, and the other two were against Buffalo and Philadelphia. The Flames are a much better team than the Oilers, so obviously that means their odds of beating the Penguins will be much better.
My model estimates that Calgary should be priced somewhere around assuming Jacob Markstrom gets the start. No bet. Both my model, and my intuition, tell me this is a good spot to back off the Sabres. Note: Yanni Gourde is expected to be play on Tuesday after missing one game due to personal reasons.
The Golden Knights will likely beat San Jose and win the game, but the market is about as low as you can go on the Sharks, who are playing their third game in four nights. My model suggests Vegas is priced appropriately at They will play the Ducks in Anaheim on Wednesday.
I highly doubt Andrei Vasilevskiy is going to start both games, which means backup Brian Elliott could start in Los Angeles on Tuesday. Follow me on Twitter to stay up to date. I was worried that my typical betting habits would be seen as too selective and therefore not enough for the average VSiN subscriber. I was wrong. Going forward: I am back to focusing on what has worked for me all along: Making long term forecasts for futures markets and handicapping all 1, regular season game.
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| Sports betting daily picks winners | Game Twitter is a sports betting daily picks winners source of daily picks Find great strategies from Youtube Remember to check the credibility of your source One site that has a number of experts is bangthebook. But the Wizards have put forth three very strong efforts so far this season going They beat Indiana on the road and then bested Chicago at home. We cover all major US sports at Pickwise, our expert picks include: NFL Picks — weekly free picks against the spread and over under totals for all regular season and playoff games. This will include all top plays that fall during the day period. Mobile Betting Gone are the days of betting on our desktops like dinosaurs. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game. |
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