Charles carlson 2022 investing
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The volatility we experienced last year was more than a fluke, argues investment expert Charles B. With the ongoing changes in the economy, including changes in corporate reporting laws, instant availability of financial information, and the ability to buy and sell stocks with the touch of a keystroke, volatility is here to stay.
In fact, Carlson argues, if you know how to weather today stormy markets, investing in them can be very profitable. First, he argues, it is critical that investors match their investment style — growth, value, buy and hold — to the kinds of stocks they pick. Even in the terrible market downturn of , when the Nasdaq lost 39 percent of its value and stocks like Lucent and Cisco saw their share price drop by 80 percent or more, a number of investment sectors actually gained in value. My colleague and friend Nick Maggiulli1 has us covered in terms of historical probabilities.
He wrote the definitive guide to dollar cost averaging vs. This is true across asset classes, time periods, and nearly all valuation regimes. Generally, the longer you wait to deploy your capital, the worst off you will be. Most of the time the market goes up. The stock market is up 3 out of every 4 years on average so putting your money to work right away, assuming you have the cash to invest, is your best bet, on average. But Nick also found dollar cost averaging into a falling market is the one exception as you can see from this chart: Nick notes the only times when dollar cost averaging tends to beat a lump sum is during a market crash scenario think , , , etc.
This makes sense when you consider buying into a falling market allows you to average down while a lump sum could be made at an inopportune time before the crash. What if the market has already crashed-ish? This is not an end-of-the-world situation but stocks are well off their highs. How should you handle it? You have a few options. Option 1 is to simply invest the money immediately. A lump sum is clean and efficient and likely gives you the highest probability of a good outcome.
Option 2 is to dollar cost average a set amount of your cash over a specified interval. As luck would have it I found myself in a situation this past week where I had a lump sum to invest. Not life-changing money but more than my normal periodic contribution amounts. My entire investing ethos is built around the idea of simplicity so I chose to invest the entire amount all at once.
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